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When Not to Trade Oil

There are times when you should not trade Oil because at this times the crude oil market becomes illiquid an unpredictable. Illiquid means there are fewer traders compared to other regular times. The times not to trade the oil market are:

  • News Time

Scheduled economic data is released throughout many times of the month. These can be found, in advance on a Oil Trading Calendar

There are 3 categories of news; yellow, orange and red, each category having a different impact. High impact fundamental news can really move the crude oil prices, sometimes causing a spike in both directions, before moving towards one direction. These are high risk times where a lot of people get stopped out.

However, it is not just the announcements themselves that can affect the crude oil trading market. The sentiments and predictions of what the numbers will be can cause the crude oil prices to move in anticipation. It is therefore not a good idea to trade during news hours.

Some major economic news like the NFP and Interest Rates decision can cause extreme volatility which is extremely hard to trade & can cause extreme movements in oil markets within seconds.

Economic data can cause a lot of speculation and therefore a lot of crude crude oil price movement.

  • Weekends

A lot can happen over the weekend leading to the oil market opening with a large gap. This can cause a big difference in your oil trading account.

  • Market closing times- NY closing

At the close time a number of positions are being closed or being swapped. This will lead to volatility in the crude oil prices and can cause the crude crude oil price to move erratically.

  • Asian Market

During the Asian session volumes are very low and the oil market move in a trading range of about 20 to 30 pips and it becomes very hard to trade because the crude oil prices falls flat. Unless you are trading JPY and AUD oil instruments it is best not to trade at this time.

  • Holidays

do not transact during Holidays. This is because the Banks are closed and therefore less participants in the crude oil market. If banks close for a holiday then the volume of transactions carried out is greatly reduced. This can lead to low volatility.

Holidays like Christmas & new year traders should not trade on these days & should take time off during this week of Christmas up to new year, date 2 when banks resume their operations. An Economic Calendar will include a schedule of bank holidays & traders can keep updated: Example of a Financial Economic Calendar.