Balance of Power Commodities Technical Analysis and Balance of Power Trading Signals

Developed by Igor Livshin

Balance of Power indicator measures the strength of the bulls versus bears by assessing ability of each to push commodities price to extreme levels.

Commodity Technical Analysis & Generating Trading Signals

When using this technical indicator, the zero line crossovers are used to generate trading signals.

The center is marked as a zero line, levels oscillating above or below are used to generate trading signals.

Buy - The scale is marked from Zero to +100 for bullish market movements

Sell - The scale is marked from Zero to -100 for bearish market movements

How to Generate Buy & Sell Trading Signals

Buy Signal

When the BOP crosses above the zero a buy commodity signal is given.

Also when the BOP is rising, the commodity market is in an upwards trend, some traders use this as a buy commodity signal but it is best to wait for the confirmation by moving above the zero mark. As this will be a buy commodity signal in bearish territory & this type of signal is more likely to be a commodity whipsaw.

Sell Signal

When the BOP crosses below zero a sell commodity signal is given.

Also when the BOP is declining, the commodity market is in a downwards trend, some traders use this as a sell commodity signal but it is best to wait for a confirmation by moving below the zero mark because this will be a sell commodity signal in bullish territory and this type of signal is more likely to be a commodity whipsaw.

Sell and Buy Trading Signals

Divergence Commodity

In commodities trading, divergences between the BOP and commodities price can be used to effectively spotting potential reversal &/or commodity trend continuation points in the commodities price movement. There are several types of divergences:

Classic Divergence - Commodities Trend reversal commodities trading signal

Hidden Divergence - Commodities Trend continuation

Commodities Trading Overbought and Oversold Conditions

This Balance of Power can be used to identify potentially overbought and over-sold conditions in commodities price movement.

• Overbought-Oversold areas can be used to provide an early warning signal for potential commodity trend reversals.
• These levels are generated when the indicator clusters its tops & bottoms thus setting up the overbought and oversold levels around those values.

However, commodities price may also stay at these overbought and oversold levels & continue heading in that direction for a while and thus it's always good to wait until the BOP crosses over Zero mark.

From the commodity example illustrated and explained below, even though the Balance of Power showed the commodities price was oversold, commodities price continued moving downwards until the indicator crossed over to above Zero.

Technical Analysis in Commodity Trading